Баранич Владимир

Баранич Владимир

Независимый медиа аналитик, специалист по экономике домашних хозяйств.

Среда, 22 июля 2020 14:34

Program "B for Belarus", 22-07-2020

Владимир Баранич

July 22, 2020. Another program “B for Belarus” on PRIMUS radio. This time the major theme of the program is “Presidential election campaign in the authoritarian country”. We cover this theme with Vladimir Baranich, a country consultant and media analyst.

  • Peculiarities of the presidential election campaign 2020.
  • Brutality of the police against ordinary people: when standing in lines, clapping hands and walking in downtown Minsk is evaluated is a law violation.
  • A benevolent monarch or an evil tsar?
  • Can Lukashenko lose?
  • Teachers, doctors and trade unions in the presidential election campaign.
  • The probability of violence and brutality after the date of elections (August 9) is very high.

 

Владимир Баранич

На ПРИМУСЕ 8 июля 2020 года в программе «Финансовая грамота» Владимир Баранич, специалист в сфере финансов домашних хозяйств, акын («что вижу – то пою»).

  • затишье перед бурей в банковской сфере. Есть ли поводы для беспокойства вкладчиков? На чём зиждется доверие белорусских вкладчиков к банковской системе?
  • схема заработка по-белорусски: взять дешевый кредит в BYN-рублях, купить недвижимость, ждать обвала BYN-рубля, погасить весь кредит из своей валютной «заначки». В результате 1м2 недвижимости обходится менее $500.
  • При падении ВВП на 1,8% в январе – мае 2020г. начисленная зарплата в мае 2020г. увеличилась по сравнению с маем 2019г. на 14%, до BYN1228. Фонд зарплаты превысил BYN3 млрд., рост за год на 10%. За чей счёт банкет?
  • могут ли материализоваться угрозы по восстановлению инфляционного и девальвационного налога на беларусов?
  • Российская экономика в 2020г. может сократиться на 6% ВВП, RUR-рубль может подешеветь до RUR90/$1. Российский центральный банк активизирует поддержку экономики и правительства. В Беларуси резко сократились переводы из-за рубежа. Быстро сокращаются сбережения. Экспорт товаров в 2020г. может сократиться более чем на 20%. Плохие активы госбанков грозят приблизиться к 15%. Финансовое состояние предприятий аховое, а Нацбанк сделали ответственным за выплату зарплат и финансирование государственных программ. И всё это не пугает вкладчиков?

 

Четверг, 02 июля 2020 11:09

Program "B for Belarus", 02-07-2020

Владимир Баранич

July 2, 2020. Another program “B for Belarus” on PRIMUS radio. This time the major theme of the program is “Belarus ecological dander zone”. We cover this theme with Vladimir Baranich, a country consultant and media analyst.

  • Belarus in Environment Performance Index 2020 ranks 49th. The attitude of Belarusians to nature. Why do some many people pollute as if there is no tomorrow?
  • The government and environment: dirty water in Minsk, polluting pulp plant in Svetlogorsk and a dangerous battery project in Brest. The three cases that demonstrate the way Belarusian authorities handle environment and manufacturing.
  • Rule of law, transparency and accountability, independence of the judiciary as prerequisites of good environmental performance.
  • Why Belarusians are neglectful about the environment.

 

Среда, 27 мая 2020 14:31

Program "B for Belarus", 27-05-2020

Владимир Баранич

May 27, 2020. Another program “B for Belarus” on PRIMUS radio. This time the major theme of the program is “Fighting coronavirus and the deepening multilevel crisis in the time of the presidential election campaign”. We cover this theme with Vladimir Baranich, a country consultant and media analyst.

  • Personal experience: how Vlad Baranich got COVID-19 and what he did about it;
  • Professional doctors and medical stuff and the atmosphere of deep disbelief in official statistics on coronavirus.
  • Change of attitude to COVID-19: before and after the disease.
  • Belarusian in the state of constant pressure, tension and oppression. Losing hope, losing patience and getting much angrier.
  • 77% of heads of district executive committees (local bodies of power) are occupied by graduates of agrarian universities. Not a single district is headed by a graduate of Belarusian State University.

 

Четверг, 16 апреля 2020 10:11

Program "B for Belarus", 16-04-2020

Владимир Баранич

April 16, 2020. Another program “B for Belarus” on PRIMUS radio. This time the major theme of the program is “Belarusians and “rainy day”. How they cope with a crisis. We cover this theme with Vladimir Baranich, a country consultant and media analyst.

  • Belarusians and “rainy day”. How they cope with the crisis. Is it different from the previous mode of behavior?
  • Facing a crisis a Belarusian will more likely to double the volume of potato planted rather than take civic actions and demand the change of the government.
  • Belarusian official statistics uses its own methodology on many issues including unemployment. Why the official unemployment number of 0.3% is a gross fake.
  • Why do Belarusians ignore psychological aid from professionals preferring alcohol and escapism?
  • The crisis generates more anger, envy and desire for sponging rather than solidarity, civic activism and responsible cooperation.

 

Четверг, 02 апреля 2020 15:18

Program "B for Belarus", 02-04-2020

Владимир Баранич

April 2, 2020. Another program “B for Belarus” on PRIMUS radio. This time the major theme of the program is “Belarus and coronavirus. How Belarusians are dealing with this critical heath issue”. We cover this theme with Vladimir Baranich, a country consultant and media analyst.

  • coronavirus in Belarus: attitude of the people, business and the authorities;
  • Why Belarusians compare the current epidemic with Chernobyl in 1986?
  • the authorities are not used to being honest and open with the people. Hence they are adding to the panic.
  • Social and economic consequences of the coronavirus outburst;
  • Schools, kindergartens, plants and sport grounds are still in normal working mode.
  • What conclusions will Belarusians make after the coronavirus epidemic is over?

 

 

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